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Written by Joe Purcell   
factory pollution waterIn the public debate surrounding man induced climate change it appears that ignoring the weight of evidence is an increasingly common position to take. This is despite the fact that there is a vast amount of scientific reporting supporting man induced climate change and only a small amount contesting it.

 

Science, however, is not an adversarial courtroom where an outrageous defence can be argued to create a seed of doubt and therefore set the guilty free. In science there is no right or wrong, there is only data and theory that best fits the facts of the data. Consensus goes with the weight of the data and the theories that best explain it. That is how science works.

 

Even a cursory review of the literature makes it clear that man induced climate change is supported by the vast bulk of scientific discourse on the topic. The current consensus of the scientific community is that man induced climate change is real. To declare otherwise is a plain and deliberate lie.

 

There are and always will be outliers at odds with the mainstream, this is true of the data and of the people, who collect, collate and interpret it. In science this type of opposition is a perfectly valid approach and in the broader scheme of things it leads to incremental improvements in the dominant theory, over time it makes the science better!

 

That is how the current view on man induced climate change was arrived at. In the 1960s it was a minority view but over time, based on the data and the supporting theory, it has come to be the dominant theory. Over time, this too may change.

 

Some folks make a good living from doing nothing more than opposing dominant theory, in science, politics and the media. For example Jan Veizer, a well-respected scientist in the field of Geology, writes newspaper articles that thump the tub for an audience with little knowledge and a lot of opinion about climate change.

 

Unfortunately there will always be opportunists prepared to exploit ignorance to win support to achieve their own ends. That is true of all parts of the spectrum of political belief but it has become a strong feature of the climate change denial movement.

 

But that is separate from the science; the media debate should not be confused with the scientific debate. Jan’s articles and others like them, entertaining though they are, are not part of the scientific literature and do not contribute to it.

 

Leon Ashby and his band of dedicated 'skeptics', or religious writers like Pete Ridley on Senator Fielding’s blog are excellent examples of those who refute the dominant theory on man induced climate change based on belief.

 

Challenging dearly held beliefs through these fringe arguments may be interesting but the resultant discourse does nothing to advance a common understanding of the science.

 

The conversation is, however, sometimes entertaining, particularly when it comes to conspiracy theories as to how man induced climate change came to be the dominant scientific theory and the main driver for public policy. Strange tales of international conspiracies and bizarre attempts at world domination feature large in the deniers’ dialogue.

 

The truth behind the paranoia is that it happened in the literature over the last 50 years. There is no grand conspiracy there is only the inexorable evolution of the literature.

 

Of course it is possible that Steve Fielding, Wilson Tuckey, and other professional opposers, genuinely deny the existence of man induced climate change based on their strongly held beliefs.

 

However being opposed to the dominant scientific viewpoint because you 'believe' does not make your opinion valid. Learning difficulties or no, our public representatives must be held to a higher standard of intellectual rigour.

 

If Steve Fielding has a better theory or new data concerning climate change then he should put it forward in opposition to the current dominant theory, that is, that man induced climate change is real and is happening right now!

 

Organising a gaggle of professional naysayers to attend a meeting with a predetermined outcome (as orchestrated by Fielding) was deliberately divisive and did nothing to contribute to the debate. All that it did achieve was to demonstrate the inadequacy of the mavericks’ position in opposing dominant scientific theory without using the time-honoured method of peer review.

 

Publish a paper in a relevant journal, prepare an essay, write an article, do something! Don’t just sit there with your fingers in your ears and your eyes squeezed shut pretending that man induced climate change is ‘just wrong’ because you don’t understand it.

 

The public interest should no longer be held to ransom by a loud and tiny minority unable to accept majority professional advice because it offends their world view.

 

There is no argument against public representatives, who hold strong opinions, contributing to the policy debate. But there is a strong argument that they should be prepared to logically articulate the positions they put forward.

 

To date this has not happened, the deniers have raised a Kangaroo Court of the opinionated and ill informed who do little more than add to the confusion and attack those with relevant expertise.

 

These lovable mavericks are attempting to push public opinion in the opposite direction to the science. The danger is that public policy tends to be based upon public opinion.

 

In the case of man induced climate change it should concern us all that, for the sake of a few votes or a few readers, the ten-gallon hat, iron bar, climate with a K crowd and their media stooges may well be endangering the future of humanity.

 

Written by Joe Purcell

 

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Pete Ridley 2010-01-28 13:22:55

Hello Joe, you say "religious writers like Pete Ridley on Senator
Fielding’s blog are excellent examples of those who refute the dominant theory
on man induced climate change based on belief". Where on earth did you get
that one from? You know little about me apart from my rejection of The
(significant human-made global climate change) Hypothesis. Knowing next to
nothing about you I suspect that you are a dedicated environmentalist, possibly
also a vegetarian, who is on of QUOTE: .. opportunists prepared to exploit
ignorance to win support to achieve their own ends UNQUOTE. Am I correct?

It
is significant that you never ever had the courage to enter in to the debates on
Senator Fielding's threads, especially the "Climate Change" one (Note
1). Why not accept this challenge to join in and support your opinions with hard
evidence. What do you consider will be the impact of "Climategate",
"Pachaurigate", "Glaciergate" and "Amazongate" (all now
coming under the umbrella of "IPCCgate" on this UN-inspired propaganda
claiming that our use of fossil fuels has a significant impact upon global
climates.

Your QUOTE: .. vast amount of scientific reporting supporting man
induced climate change and only a small amount contesting it UNQUOTE wouldn’t
happen to be that “evidence” presented in the IPCC AR4 WG1 Scientific Report
would it? The UN’s IPCC is being exposed for what it was set up to be – part
of the UN’s propaganda machine supporting its agenda of:
- redistribution of
wealth from developed to underdeveloped economies,
- establishment of a
framework for global government,
- enhancement of the finances and power of a
privileged few.

All of that is now forced onto the back burner until another
scare story can be invented to justify global taxation. What will it be next?
...
Joe Purcell 2010-01-28 20:40:11

I interpret your discourse as being religiously inspired for two reasons: 1) you
use a religious term in your moniker and 2) your writings have very little to do
with science and a great deal to do with religion. Therefore I would describe
you as a religious writer, is that unfair? If so I apologise with full
confidence that I shall be forgiven, amen.

I have not entered into discussions
on the Fielding site as it is mostly devoid of scientific content and contains
many lies. Much of the regurgitated denialist garbage on the Fielding site is
the same bunch of lies told on many many sites, I just wanted a local example
for the article. There can be no constructive discussion if one of the parties
is prepared to repeat the lies of others as if they were fact. That is clearly
the case with most of what I observed on the site.

As to your desire to
debate, it is clear that you are more interested in political discussion and are
too poorly informed in matters scientific for us to hold a relevant discussion.
My main interest is in the science with a fringe interest in the psychology of
those who choose to deny the science despite the lack of evidence to support
their case. Lets just say the deliberately ignorant interest me, I am fascinated
by what motivates such anti social behaviour.

I have very little interest in
politics beyond its effect on public policy. My main interest in you is as an an
example of one who is prepared to oppose science based on your own beliefs.
Beyond that I have no interest in arguing with someone who is ill informed on
the subject matter and has no desire or ability to progress a useful debate.


There is no purpose to discussion when it is apparent that you wish to discuss
your opposition to something that you do not understand and my wish is to
understand why people would oppose something so obviously understood as the 100...
 
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